US gym membershipsUS self-published books per year
The American who writes a book and the American who joins a gym have, since 2015, been multiplying at nearly the same rate (r = 0.959), which is either an endorsement of self-improvement or a warning about oversupply. One produces a manuscript; one produces a membership card. Both tend, in the long run, to be half-finished.
US self-published book output, measured via ISBN assignments, rose from roughly 700,000 titles per year in 2015 to over 2 million by 2023, riding Amazon KDP and the near-zero marginal cost of uploading a Word document to a printer; US gym memberships climbed from about 55 million to over 66 million in the same window, led by Planet Fitness's $10/month model and the boutique boom of Barry's, Equinox, and Soulcycle. Both are expressions of the same self-improvement-as-identity wave, amplified by social media's pressure to produce visible progress. The average completion rate on a self-published book is around 40%; the average year-over-year gym membership retention is about 57%; both are better than you'd think and worse than the owner intended.
The manuscript grows. The deadlift grows. Both plateau eventually, yet the subscription continues.
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