Satellite launches per year worldwideUS pickleball players
It appears that somewhere between 2014 and 2022, the universe decided that for every satellite humanity launched into the void, roughly one American would simultaneously decide that hitting a plastic ball over a net at moderate speeds was their preferred form of exercise. This is the sort of correlation that makes you wonder whether we are simply very large, pattern-seeking organisms who would find meaningful connections between the tides and the popularity of sandwiches if given enough spreadsheets. It says something, though what exactly remains unclear.
Both trends actually reflect the same underlying phenomenon: disposable income meeting leisure time in an era of relative peace and broadband connectivity. As SpaceX and other commercial launch providers drove down satellite costs and expanded their cadence, the same economic optimism and accessibility that enabled space investment trickled down into recreational spending—and pickleball, being cheap, social, and low-impact, became the sport of choice for millions of Americans suddenly wondering what to do with themselves on a Tuesday afternoon. Between 2014 and 2022, the number of American pickleball players grew from roughly 3 million to over 8 million, an expansion mirroring the 50-odd additional satellite launches per year that characterized the same period; both rode the wave of an expanding middle class suddenly fascinated by novelty, whether orbital or recreational.
We are pattern-matching creatures living in a world drowning in data, which means that somewhere, right now, someone is probably noticing that satellite launches correlate perfectly with the rise in oat milk consumption, and they will feel, briefly, that they have glimpsed something true about the universe. They have not. But they will tell their friends anyway, and their friends will nod, because we are all just looking for the shape of sense in a cosmos fundamentally indifferent to our need for it. Correlation is not causation, but it is certainly company.
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Want to learn more about why correlations like “Satellite launches per year worldwide” vs “US pickleball players” don't prove causation? Read our guide to statistical thinking.