Tinder paid subscribersPer capita bottled water consumption
From 2015 to 2023, as more people paid for Tinder's premium features โ ostensibly to meet other humans โ they also drank more bottled water per capita, achieving a correlation of 0.9737. The implication that dating apps cause thirst is too obvious to be ignored by anyone who has spent fifteen minutes on a dating app. Researchers note that the data does not distinguish between literal and metaphorical thirst, which is a significant methodological gap.
Tinder launched paid tiers (Tinder Plus, Gold, Platinum) starting in 2015, and paid subscribers grew from a few million to over 10 million by the early 2020s as the platform matured and users accepted subscription models. Per-capita bottled water consumption in the US grew from around 36 gallons in 2015 to over 45 gallons by 2023, driven by the continuing shift away from sugary beverages and the convenience premium attached to single-serve packaging. Both trends reflect the same underlying consumer willingness to pay for convenience and optimization โ one for hydration, one for romantic logistics. They are co-travelers in the premiumization of daily life.
When a society decides to pay for things it used to get for free โ water, introductions โ the numbers for all those paid substitutes tend to move together. The correlation is real; the cause is the economic anthropology of convenience.
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Want to learn more about why correlations like โTinder paid subscribersโ vs โPer capita bottled water consumptionโ don't prove causation? Read our guide to statistical thinking.