Super Bowl 30-second ad costChina resident patent applications
As Chinese residents have filed more patent applications, the cost of a 30-second Super Bowl ad has risen, a correlation of 0.991 that connects Chinese innovation to American football advertising with the transoceanic confidence of capital flowing where it pleases. The patent is filed in Shenzhen, the ad airs in America, and the chart does not distinguish between intellectual property and commercial property. Both cost more every year.
Chinese patent applications grew from about 300,000 to over 1.5 million per year between 2010 and 2021. Super Bowl ads grew from about 3 million to over 6.5 million per 30-second spot. Both are smooth upward curves driven by their respective economies: China's innovation push drives patent volume, and the scarcity of mass-audience television events drives ad pricing. The shared variable is global economic growth and the premium placed on attention—patents seek to capture innovation, ads seek to capture eyeballs, and both get more expensive as competition increases.
Twelve years of Chinese patents and Super Bowl ads is a correlation that connects two forms of escalating competition: one for technological first-mover advantage, the other for consumer attention. Both cost more because both markets are crowding. The patent office processes, the network bills, and the chart draws a line through both economies with the serene confidence of capital that recognizes no borders.
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Want to learn more about why correlations like “Super Bowl 30-second ad cost” vs “China resident patent applications” don't prove causation? Read our guide to statistical thinking.