As US coal production has declined, craft distilleries have multiplied, a correlation of -0.985 that captures the economic transition of the American heartland in a single chart: the mines close, the bourbon barns open, and the economy pivots from one form of extraction to another. The coal heats homes, the whiskey warms hearts, and the chart traces the decline of industrial America and the rise of artisanal America with the bittersweet precision of a coefficient that has tasted both.
Coal production declined from about 1.1 billion tons to under 540 million between 2005 and 2022 as natural gas and renewables displaced coal in electricity generation. Craft distilleries grew from about 200 to over 2,500, powered by consumer premiumization and the artisanal movement. Both trends measure the transformation of the American economy: away from heavy industry and toward experience-based consumption. In some cases, the geographic overlap is literal—Kentucky, Tennessee, and West Virginia have both declining coal economies and growing distillery sectors.
Eighteen years of less coal and more distilleries is one of the more economically coherent correlations on this site: both measure the same structural transition in the American economy, from industrial extraction to artisanal production. The mine shaft closes, the pot still fires up, and the workforce transitions from one form of heating to another. The coal seam is depleted. The bourbon barrel is full. The economy adapts.
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Want to learn more about why correlations like “US coal production” vs “Craft distilleries in the US” don't prove causation? Read our guide to statistical thinking.