As candle sales have grown, FBI gun background checks have grown, a correlation of 0.975 that connects the wellness economy to the firearms economy with the American confidence of a chart that treats scented wax and NICS checks as equivalent consumer activities. The candle is lit for ambiance, the gun is purchased for security, and both numbers climb because the same anxious, spending-capable nation funds both self-care and self-defense simultaneously.
Both spiked in 2020 for the same general reason and for very different specific ones. Candle sales rose as locked-down households leaned into cozy aesthetics, while gun background checks hit a record as anxious buyers — worried about unrest, shortages, and civil instability — rushed to firearms dealers. Two very different ways to feel safer inside your own home.
Eighteen years of candles and gun checks is a uniquely American correlation: a nation that simultaneously invests in lavender-scented self-care and 9mm self-defense, both trends growing because the same consumer culture produces both comfort-seeking and threat-perception. The wick is lit, the trigger is checked, and the chart records both as expressions of the same anxious prosperity.
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Want to learn more about why correlations like “FBI gun background checks (NICS)” vs “US candle market retail sales” don't prove causation? Read our guide to statistical thinking.