Per capita bottled water consumptionDeaths from falling out of bed in the US
As Americans have drunk more bottled water per capita, more of them have fallen fatally out of bed, adding bottled water to the ever-expanding catalog of things that correlate with bed-fall deaths. The coefficient is 0.990 across eight years, which means even hydration correlates with mattress-related mortality. The water hydrates, the bed betrays, and the chart adds another entry to the most over-correlated death statistic in American medicine.
Bottled water consumption grew from about 40 to over 47 gallons per capita between 2014 and 2021. Bed-fall deaths continued their steady climb with the aging population. Eight data points of two upward trends, same coefficient, same explanation: everything that grows in America correlates with bed-fall deaths because the aging population produces a perfectly smooth upward curve. The water is irrelevant. The demographics are inexorable.
Eight years of bottled water and bed falls is a reminder that bed-fall deaths are the universal correlator—the metric that achieves r > 0.99 with almost anything that has grown since 2005. The water flows, the body falls, and the coefficient is a monument to the mathematical certainty of demographic aging. Hydrate. Install a bed rail. Ignore the correlation.
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Want to learn more about why correlations like “Per capita bottled water consumption” vs “Deaths from falling out of bed in the US” don't prove causation? Read our guide to statistical thinking.