Deaths from falling out of bed in the USFAA-licensed commercial space launches
It is a curious fact, and one that ought to trouble us more than it apparently does, that Americans have become simultaneously better at launching expensive rockets into the void and worse at the simple task of remaining in their beds, with these two entirely unrelated pursuits moving in perfect lockstep for seventeen consecutive years. One might expect that a nation growing wealthier and more technologically sophisticated would at least manage to keep its citizens horizontal through the night. Instead, we find ourselves in the bewildering position of correlating orbital mechanics with mattress-related fatalities as though the universe were playing a prank we're only just beginning to notice.
The truth, as is often the case with these things, probably has less to do with cosmic irony and more to do with the fact that both statistics are riding the same invisible escalator. Between 2005 and 2021, America's population grew by roughly 8 percent—from 295 million to 331 million—which alone would nudge both numbers upward in a kind of statistical parallel parking. Add to this the aging of the Baby Boomers into an age bracket where midnight tumbles become statistically more likely, plus improved reporting of mortality data in hospitals, and you have a cohort of older Americans simultaneously wealthier and more prone to the sorts of falls that come with advanced age. The space industry, meanwhile, was simply becoming more economically viable during the same period, with commercial spaceflight transforming from a curiosity into an actual business model—something that had nothing to do with beds but everything to do with cheap computing and venture capital.
What emerges from this particular correlation is less a warning about gravitational forces and more a gentle reminder that the universe is under no obligation to stop being weird just because we've learned to recognize the weirdness. Population growth and improved data collection are boring villains compared to the suggestion that our rocket programs are somehow enchanting our beds into rebellion. We are, it seems, pattern-seeking creatures sharing a planet with two trends that happened to dance together, and we noticed, and we will not stop talking about it.
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Want to learn more about why correlations like “Deaths from falling out of bed in the US” vs “FAA-licensed commercial space launches” don't prove causation? Read our guide to statistical thinking.