Somewhere in the vast machinery of the universe, a wholesale membership warehouse and a young man filming himself opening boxes have decided to grow at almost exactly the same rate, which is the sort of thing that makes you wonder whether the cosmos is playing an elaborate practical joke or simply hasn't been paying attention. The correlation sits at 0.954, which is to say nearly perfect, which is to say almost certainly meaningless, which is precisely what makes it so delightful. One involves bulk toilet paper and rotisserie chickens; the other involves someone being outrageously wealthy on camera. They have virtually nothing to do with each other, and yet.
But here's what's genuinely interesting: both trends reflect the same underlying economic shift toward convenience and entertainment as services. Costco sells the promise that buying in bulk saves you money and time; MrBeast sells the promise that watching someone give away money is more entertaining than almost anything else. Both benefited from growing smartphone adoption, increasing trust in digital transactions, and a population that was spending more time online. It's less that one caused the other and more that they're both symptoms of the same fever.
What we're looking at, then, is a reminder that correlation can whisper without lying—it's just usually whispering about something else entirely, something larger and less photogenic than either dataset would suggest. Two completely unrelated enterprises grew in lockstep because the world they inhabited was changing in ways that favored both of them simultaneously, which is how you end up with statistics that are technically true and absolutely meaningless. The real story isn't about Costco or MrBeast. It's about us, and what we were doing in 2016 through 2023.
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Want to learn more about why correlations like “Costco annual revenue” vs “MrBeast YouTube subscribers” don't prove causation? Read our guide to statistical thinking.