Babies named KhaleesiUS online dating industry revenue
Between 2011 and 2018, the number of American babies named after a fictional dragon queen tracked the US online dating industry's revenue with an r of 0.97, which raises the urgent question of whether Tinder is somehow responsible for Game of Thrones fandom or vice versa. Both peaked around 2018 before the cultural consensus soured, which in the case of Khaleesi was the final season and in the case of online dating was the realization that swipe-based romance had its own dragons. The synchronicity is beautiful. Somewhere, a child named Khaleesi is old enough to be on the apps.
Both metrics tracked closely with millennial cultural and economic behavior during a specific eight-year window. Game of Thrones premiered in 2011 and drove Khaleesi naming from essentially zero to over 500 births annually by 2018 before declining sharply after the controversial final season. Online dating revenue grew from roughly $1.5 billion in 2011 to over $2.2 billion by 2018, fueled by the same millennial demographic hitting prime dating age and adopting smartphone-based platforms like Tinder (launched 2012) and Hinge. Both are measures of millennial cultural spending and enthusiasm during a defined boom period.
Cultural phenomena often cluster among the same demographic cohort at the same life stage, creating correlations that are really just portraits of a generation doing several things at once. The data is a photograph, not a mechanism.
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Want to learn more about why correlations like “Babies named Khaleesi” vs “US online dating industry revenue” don't prove causation? Read our guide to statistical thinking.